TickerMint Daily: Case Prices Break Out, Aquapolis Gets Dumped
Sealed case product keeps printing record highs while singles chop hard on thin volume, three solo-variant pops look like repricing noise, not demand.
FULL DESK NOTE →
Window: 2026-06-27 to 2026-07-04
Sealed cases did the heavy lifting this week. Eight products hit new all-time highs, six of them cases or ETBs. Nobody is buying these to open them.
New ATHs
Battle Styles Booster Box Case: $1712.92 Stellar Crown Booster Box Case: $1679.74 Surging Sparks Booster Bundle Case (LGS): $1081.07 Journey Together Booster Bundle Case: $903.54 Giratina V (Alternate Full Art): $868.21 Obsidian Flames Pokemon Center Elite Trainer Box (Exclusive): $711.74 XY Evolutions Elite Trainer Box (Mega Charizard Y): $691.12 Small But Mighty Premium Collection: $675.52
ATH watch
Five products sitting a cent under their record, effectively pinned there: Gardevoir at $544.00 (ATH $544.01, set 2026-03-05), Charizard ex Super-Premium Collection Case at $349.98 (ATH $349.99, 2025-11-12), Unified Minds Prerelease Kit at $349.15 (ATH $349.16, 2026-04-07), POP Series 3 Pack at $159.94 (ATH $159.95, 2026-04-22), Chaos Rising 3-Pack Blister Case at $599.93 (ATH $599.98, 2026-05-26). All showing -0.0% off ath. Somebody keeps bidding a penny under the top and stopping.
Gainers, 7d
Rayquaza ex (Dragon, Holofoil): $210.31 to $389.85, +85.4%, 311 listings. Real book depth on this one. Blastoise (Unleashed, Reverse Holofoil): $33.08 to $59.99, +81.3%, 33 listings. Houndoom (H11) (Aquapolis, Holofoil): $226.66 to $399.99, +76.5%, 11 listings. Getting thin. Cleffa (Paldean Fates, Holofoil): $5.61 to $9.73, +73.4%, no listing data. Clefairy #13 (Bisharp & Wigglytuff Trainer Kit, Normal): $5.90 to $10.00, +69.5%, no listing data.
Losers, 7d
Fighting Fury Belt - 2018 (Naohito Inoue): $5.00 to $2.50, -50.0%. Nidoking (H18) (Aquapolis, Holofoil): $229.99 to $120.00, -47.8%, 25 listings. Alakazam (Legendary Collection, Reverse Holofoil): $237.50 to $139.81, -41.1%, 51 listings. Mega Greninja ex Premium Collection: $80.46 to $54.67, -32.1%, 3 listings. Slugma #98 (Skyridge, Reverse Holofoil): $99.99 to $69.97, -30.0%, 5 listings. Umbreon V (Evolving Skies, Holofoil): $12.03 to $8.77, -27.1%, 285 listings. Deep book, still got cut a quarter.
Worth noting: Aquapolis showed up on both sides this week. Houndoom up, Nidoking down. The set is not moving as a unit, individual holders are just repricing.
1-day spikes
Mega Skarmory ex 055/088: $5.00 to $8.33, +66.6%. Shinx DP15: $35.00 to $57.50, +64.3%. Rocket's Persian ex (Unseen Forces, Holofoil): $130.72 to $199.99, +53.0%. Knock Out Collection (Tyranitar, Shiftry, Vivillon): $129.55 to $185.91, +43.5%. Knock Out Collection (Lucario, Bisharp, Zoroark): $125.69 to $179.98, +43.2%. None of these carry active listing counts in the feed. Take the percentages at face value and nothing more.
Solo variant watch
Three pops with solo_variant flagged true, meaning only that specific printing moved while siblings sat still. Treat as repricing artifacts, not demand signals: Tangela (Call of Legends, Reverse Holofoil) $8.16 to $16.12, +97.5%. Zapdos (Base Set Shadowless, 1st Edition Holofoil) $324.50 to $600.00, +84.9%, 149 listings, which at least has book depth behind the number. Mr. Mime E4 (Rising Rivals, Reverse Holofoil) $5.83 to $10.67, +83.0%.
Artist premiums
Hot: Asako Ito 10.99x across 32 cards. The Pokemon Company Art Team 4.83x, 11 cards. Makoto Imai 4.70x, 10 cards. Susumu Maeya 2.27x, 10 cards. Kazuaki Aihara 2.03x, 12 cards.
Cold: "Big Mama" Tagawa 0.26x, 17 cards. Milky Isobe 0.27x, 23 cards. Ryota Saito 0.50x, 9 cards. Kazuo Yazawa 0.52x, 9 cards. Jungo Suzuki 0.54x, 9 cards. Illustration alone does not clear a premium against these signatures.
No scored calls in the track record yet this cycle.
Numbers from the TickerMint pipeline. Every call is scored publicly on the scoreboard.