Sealed Cases Print New Highs While Prize Pack Singles Whipsaw
Case-lot sealed product and secret art chase notched fresh all-time highs this week while a batch of low-priced Prize Pack Series singles spiked and gave it all back inside the same window.
KEY POINTS
- ›Top 7d gainer: Mega Skarmory ex - 055/088 +103.2% to $16.93
- ›Top 7d loser: Charmander - 011/094 -75.7% to $2.43
- ›New all-time high: 151 Elite Trainer Box Case at $5317.17
- ›5 cards near all-time highs
- ›Hottest artist: Asako Ito at 9.33x premium
New all-time highs
151 Elite Trainer Box Case printed $5317.17. Team Up Elite Trainer Box hit $4000.00. Prismatic Evolutions Pokemon Center ETB Case reached $2534.92. On the chase side, Umbreon VMAX (Alternate Art Secret) wait, corrected below.
Umbreon VMAX (Alternate Art Secret) hit $2336.54, Gengar & Mimikyu GX (Alternate Full Art) hit $1624.49, Rayquaza VMAX (Alternate Art Secret) hit $1181.67, and vintage Rayquaza ex from Deoxys touched $999.00. Costco Pokemon Collector 3-Pack closed out the list at $887.23.
Sitting on the door
Five products are parked a shade under their peaks. Unified Minds Single Pack Blister [Sudowoodo] sits at $99.49 against an ath of $99.99 (-0.5%). Luxray - SWSH023 (Prerelease) [Staff] is at $81.43 vs $81.84 (-0.5%). Sabrina's Gengar 1st edition holds $600.87 against $603.90 (-0.5%). League Battle Decks [Pikachu & Zekrom GX] is $217.45 vs $218.57 (-0.5%). Furious Fists Booster Box trades $4717.51 against its $4742.51 mark (-0.5%), set July 5.
Gainers, 7 day
The top of the board is crowded with Prize Pack Series cards moving off single-digit bases. Mega Skarmory ex - 055/088 ran $8.33 to $16.93 (+103.2%, depth 5). Alakazam E4 Lv.X doubled $100.00 to $200.00 (+100.0%, no depth logged). Psyduck - 039/217 (Cosmos Holo) went $6.26 to $12.37 (+97.6%, depth 6). Nidoking (H18) climbed $120.00 to $230.98 (+92.5%, depth 36). Lucario - 14/95 (Cracked Ice Holo) moved $15.97 to $30.73 (+92.4%, no depth logged). Steelix - 125/214 (Cosmos Holo) rose $9.21 to $16.43 (+78.4%). Psychic Energy (2006-2007 League Promo) gained $13.80 to $24.19 (+75.3%, depth 13). Pikachu (French) climbed $110.98 to $192.99 (+73.9%). Gengar - 050/088 went $10.35 to $17.92 (+73.1%, depth 23). Hoopa - XY147 (Prerelease) [Staff] added $50.00 to $85.43 (+70.9%, depth 396, the deepest book on this list).
Losers, 7 day
Same Prize Pack Series that dominated the gainers list also dominates the drop column, which is the tell here: several of the week's biggest percentage gains and losses share a set. Charmander - 011/094 fell $9.99 to $2.43 (-75.7%, depth 11). Zekrom - 066/182 (Cosmos Holo) dropped $11.72 to $3.19 (-72.8%, depth 156). Gastly - 048/088 went $5.99 to $1.71 (-71.5%, depth 8). Haunter - 049/088 fell $6.99 to $2.71 (-61.2%, depth 7). Lillie's Determination - 119/132 (Cosmos Holo) slid $10.67 to $4.53 (-57.5%, depth 9). Shadow Lugia (Nintendo World Promo) dropped $299.00 to $150.00 (-49.8%). Scizor ex fell $249.99 to $132.43 (-47.0%, depth 23). Electrode slid $8.80 to $5.25 (-40.3%, depth 787, plenty of book behind this one). Hilda - 084/086 (Cosmos Holo) dropped $11.13 to $6.74 (-39.4%, depth 17). Genesect - BW101 fell $68.00 to $43.60 (-35.9%). None of this reads as a trend, it reads as a set that traded both ways this week.
One day spikes
Four of the five overlap the weekly gainer list, meaning most of the week's move happened in a single session. Alakazam E4 Lv.X doubled in a day. Lucario - 14/95 (Cracked Ice Holo), Steelix - 125/214 (Cosmos Holo), and Pikachu (French) also front-loaded their weekly gains into one print. Milotic - 28/124 (Cosmos Holo) added $5.46 to $8.94 (+63.7%) and did not make the weekly top ten, so watch whether it holds.
Solo watch
Three cards flagged as single printing moves, meaning the listed variant jumped while its siblings sat still, a pattern that usually points to a repricing artifact rather than real demand. Hyper Potion (Reverse Holofoil, Skyridge) went $9.44 to $19.29 (+104.3%, depth 17). Jirachi (Reverse Holofoil, Legends Awakened) went $27.69 to $55.17 (+99.2%, depth 5). Vileplume (Reverse Holofoil, Boundaries Crossed) went $7.29 to $14.21 (+94.9%, depth 5). Thin depth on all three, treat accordingly.
Artist premiums
Hot: Asako Ito commands a 9.33x premium across 34 cards. Keiko Fukuyama sits at 3.51x on 20 cards. Susumu Maeya is 2.28x on 10 cards. Kazuaki Aihara runs 2.03x on 12 cards. Yuka Morii holds 2.00x across a wide 199-card sample.
Cold: Milky Isobe and "Big Mama" Tagawa both sit at 0.26x (23 and 16 cards). Kazuo Yazawa is 0.49x on 9 cards. Takumi Akabane trades at 0.53x across 52 cards. ConceptLab rounds out the list at 0.55x on 20 cards.
Track record
The desk's own 7 day gainer calls hit 10% of the time (1 of 10) with an average return of +4.6%. The 7 day loser calls hit 20% of the time (2 of 10) with an average return of +10.2%. Neither number is flattering, both are logged.
Numbers from the TickerMint pipeline. Every call is scored publicly on the scoreboard.
