TickerMint Daily Brief: Cases Print New Highs, Pitch Black Gives Back Its Pop
Case-level product hit fresh all-time highs across six sets while ME05: Pitch Black singles unwound last week's spike and a trio of reverse holos got repriced on thin sibling data.
KEY POINTS
- ›Top 7d gainer: Venusaur ex +89.6% to $501.00
- ›Top 7d loser: Lurantis ex - 096/084 -68.8% to $2.56
- ›New all-time high: Brilliant Stars Booster Box Case at $3868.49
- ›5 cards near all-time highs
- ›Hottest artist: Asako Ito at 9.69x premium
New All-Time Highs
Six sealed cases and two singles closed at fresh records. Brilliant Stars Booster Box Case hit $3868.49. Destined Rivals Booster Box Case hit $3618.80. Generations Elite Trainer Box hit $2848.99. Premium Trainer's XY Collection hit $2503.43. Prismatic Evolutions Booster Bundle Case hit $2304.18. Paradox Rift Sleeved Booster Case hit $1236.62. Dark Blastoise (Legendary Collection, Reverse Holofoil) hit $975.00. Crown Zenith Tin Case hit $921.88. Sealed product keeps grinding upward while everyone argues about singles.
ATH Watch
Five names are sitting within half a percent of their own record and haven't cracked it yet. Luxray - SWSH023 (Prerelease) [Staff] is at $81.43 against an $81.84 high from 2026-05-04. Rocket's Hitmonchan sits at $130.95 versus $131.61 (2026-06-04). Sabrina's Gengar is $600.87 against $603.90, a high set back on 2025-03-27. Journey Together Sleeved Booster Case is $1013.98 versus $1019.15 (2025-08-05). League Battle Decks [Pikachu & Zekrom GX] is $217.45 against $218.57 (2026-06-05). All five are parked at -0.5% off ath.
Movers, 7 Day
Venusaur ex (FireRed & LeafGreen, Holofoil) ran from $264.31 to $501.00, +89.6%, on 14 listings of depth. Altaria ex (Emerald, Holofoil) went $165.00 to $299.99, +81.8%, backed by 5 listings. Manectric - 38/107 (Prerelease) climbed $32.86 to $55.24, +68.1%, on 5 listings. Snivy - 1/114 (Cosmos Holo) moved $27.97 to $45.40, +62.3%, with no depth reported. Wurmple (Platinum, Reverse Holofoil) rose $9.47 to $14.98, +58.2%, on 16 listings.
Losers, 7 Day
Six of the ten worst names this week share one set: ME05: Pitch Black. Lurantis ex - 096/084 fell $8.20 to $2.56, -68.8%, on 783 listings of depth, the deepest book in the loser column. Mega Zeraora ex - 098/084 dropped $23.09 to $7.79, -66.3%, on 566 listings. Mega Zeraora ex - 114/084 went $171.34 to $69.76, -59.3%, on 362 listings. Thievul - 092/084 slid $5.30 to $2.19, -58.7%, on 99 listings. Mega Chandelure ex - 099/084 dropped $19.99 to $8.72, -56.4%, on 431 listings. Dhelmise - 091/084 fell $19.90 to $9.00, -54.8%, on 621 listings. Outside that set, Haunter (Base Set, Normal) went $5.28 to $2.46, -53.4%, on a deep 2300 listings, which is a lot of paper agreeing on the same direction. Dark Bell - 106/084 dropped $6.25 to $3.17, -49.3%, on 386 listings. Metal Energy (2011 Pokemon League) (Holofoil) fell $8.17 to $4.33, -47.0%, on 67 listings. Pitch Black Booster Pack dropped $11.60 to $6.19, -46.6%, on 5 listings. Read the ME05 cluster as one set giving back a hype pop across the board, not six separate stories.
1 Day Spikes
Doublade - 84/146 (Regional Championships) [Staff] (Reverse Holofoil) jumped $35.00 to $48.75, +39.3%, no depth on record. Medicham V - 083/203 rose $6.97 to $9.34, +34.0%, also no depth listed. Shadow Lugia (Nintendo World Promo) moved $150.00 to $200.00, +33.3%, on 21 listings. Pumpkaboo - 076/203 climbed $12.64 to $16.28, +28.8%, no depth listed. Primarina - 088/084 (ME05: Pitch Black, Holofoil) gained $7.68 to $9.70, +26.3%, on 584 listings, the lone name in this set moving up while its siblings above got sold.
Flagged: Solo Variant Moves
Three reverse holos posted big single-day gains flagged as solo variant moves, meaning only that specific printing moved while its sibling variants sat flat. Treat these as repricing artifacts, not demand signals. Voltorb (Hidden Legends, Reverse Holofoil) went $10.00 to $20.00, +100.0%, no depth on record. Treecko (Great Encounters, Reverse Holofoil) rose $8.60 to $16.99, +97.6%, on 5 listings. Granbull (Unseen Forces, Reverse Holofoil) climbed $9.99 to $18.49, +85.1%, no depth listed.
Artist Premiums
Hot: Asako Ito commands a 9.69x premium across 35 cards, far ahead of the pack. Keiko Fukuyama sits at 3.48x over 20 cards. Susumu Maeya is at 2.43x over 10 cards. Kazuaki Aihara is at 2.11x over 12 cards. Yuka Morii holds 2.06x across a much wider 199-card sample.
Cold: Milky Isobe trades at a 0.25x premium across 23 cards, the market's clear discount bin. "Big Mama" Tagawa sits at 0.28x over 17 cards. Kazuo Yazawa is at 0.48x over 9 cards. Takumi Akabane holds 0.55x across 52 cards. ConceptLab is at 0.57x over 20 cards.
Track Record
Monthly mint alerts hit 29% over a 7 day horizon (8 of 28), averaging +4.1%. The 7 day gainer signal hit 25% (11 of 44), averaging +2.7%. The 7 day loser signal hit 44% (21 of 48), averaging -2.9%, which is the closest thing to a reliable edge in today's sheet.
Numbers from the TickerMint pipeline. Every call is scored publicly on the scoreboard.
