TickerMint Daily Brief: Five Names Sit at the Ledge, None Cross It

ATH Watch

Five names sitting within a half point of their all-time highs, none of them breaking through. Luxray - SWSH023 (Prerelease) [Staff] at 81.43 against an ATH of 81.84, off -0.5%. Sabrina's Gengar at 600.87 versus 603.90, also off -0.5%. Rocket's Scyther, Costco Pokemon Scarlet & Violet 151 Mini Tin 5-pack (Magneton), and League Battle Decks [Pikachu & Zekrom GX] round out the group, all off -0.5% from their respective peaks. No new highs printed this window.

Gainers, 7d

Telepathic Psychic Energy - 088/088 (Cosmos Holo) leads at +82.0%, 7.37 to 13.41, on 18 listings. Zapdos ex moved 149.00 to 269.97 (+81.2%) on 12 listings, a thinner book for a card that size. Flygon climbed 20.58 to 35.68 (+73.4%) on 25 listings. Pikachu (Baby) put up +68.6% (56.34 to 95.00) with the deepest book of the group at 484 listings, the one gainer here with real weight behind it. Swampert ex - 2004 (Reed Weichler) gained 68.1% on just 7 listings. Cherrim, Wurmple, Marowak - 78/162 (Pokemon League) [4th Place], and Magnezone - 83/156 (League Challenge) [1st Place] round out the list, the last two running on 4 listings apiece. Small books, big percentages: read accordingly.

Losers, 7d

Snover - 101/123 fell hardest at -49.1% (19.95 to 10.16) on 10 listings. Venusaur ex dropped 501.00 to 276.99 (-44.7%) on a comparatively deep 28 listings, meaning this one had real sellers behind it rather than a quiet market. Delphox - 074 lost -43.2% on 37 listings. Medicham ex, Primarina - 020/084 (What's Your Favorite Stamp), Genesect - BW101 (no depth reading available), Ampharos - 075, Nidoking (150) down from 980.00 to 675.00, Rare Candy - 142/168 (League Cup) [Staff], and Zygarde GX - SM122 fill out the board. Every one of these lagged the market this week. That is the whole story, no forecast attached.

Solo watch

Three moves flagged solo-variant this window. Ledyba reverse holo up 127.5% (14.87 to 33.83, 24 listings), Voltorb reverse holo doubling from 10.00 to 20.00 on just 6 listings, and Eevee reverse holo up 94.4% (179.99 to 349.99, 7 listings). In each case only the flagged printing moved while sibling variants held still, the signature of a repricing artifact rather than a real demand shift. Treat these as noise until other variants confirm.

Artist premiums

Hot: Asako Ito commands a 9.48x premium across 35 cards, well clear of Keiko Fukuyama (3.27x, 20 cards) and Susumu Maeya (2.31x, 10 cards). Yuka Morii holds a 2.11x premium across the widest pool, 196 cards. Cold: Milky Isobe and "Big Mama" Tagawa both sit at 0.28x premium (23 and 17 cards respectively), with Kazuo Yazawa at 0.52x on a small 9-card sample.

Track record

The monthly mint alert signal hit 26% over a 7 day horizon (13 of 50) for an average return of +2.6%. The 7-day gainer signal hit 25% (15 of 60) for +1.1% average, meaning three in four flagged gainers did not repeat. The 7-day loser signal hit 49% (35 of 71) with an average return of -11.1%, the most reliable of the three tracked here, for better or worse.

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Numbers from the TickerMint pipeline. Every call is scored publicly on the scoreboard.