TickerMint Daily: Eight New ATHs, BW Promos Rip, Solo-Variant Noise in the Gainers Column

New all-time highs (8)

Sealed product dominated the ATH list this cycle. XY Evolutions Booster Box printed $2509.28. Prismatic Evolutions Booster Bundle Case hit $2333.45. Destined Rivals Sleeved Booster Case reached $1616.53. Journey Together Enhanced Booster Box Case touched $1563.11. Pokemon GO Elite Trainer Box Case closed at $1330.90. Unova Mini Tin Display Case hit $1043.30. Evolving Skies Elite Trainer Box [Set of 2] reached $1031.64, and its Pokemon Center sibling, Evolving Skies Pokemon Center Elite Trainer Box (Exclusive), hit $1020.28. Eight sealed products, eight new ceilings, zero singles on the list.

ATH watch

Five cards sitting within half a percent of their own peak: Unified Minds Single Pack Blister [Sudowoodo] at $99.49 (ath $99.99), Sabrina's Gengar at $600.87 (ath $603.90), Galarian Rapidash V (Alternate Full Art) at $89.12 (ath $89.57), Rocket's Scyther at $85.01 (ath $85.44), and Erika's Clefable at $81.39 (ath $81.82). All parked at -0.5% off ath.

Gainers, 7 day

Axew - BW16 led with +103.8% ($33.73 to $68.75) on a depth of 3 listings, thin enough that one buyer moves the tape. Genesect - BW101 followed at +92.3% ($26.52 to $51.01), no depth reading available. Pikachu climbed +78.1% ($7.71 to $13.73) but on a depth of 3275, a real market move rather than a quiet corner. Venusaur (Secret Wonders) rose +64.3% on 209 listings deep. Honedge - 7/12 gained +59.9% on just 17 listings. Mr. Mime - 2013 (Jason Klaczynski) added +59.1% with no depth logged. Exeggutor (Reverse Holofoil) rose +58.2% on 24 listings. Electivire - 54/149 (Cosmos Holo) climbed +54.7% on a depth of 7.

Losers, 7 day

Moltres - XY127 (Prerelease) [Staff] lagged the market at -36.7% ($250.00 to $158.34) on 7 listings. Empoleon - BW56 fell -36.0% on 38 listings. Dracozolt V (Full Art) dropped -33.8% on a deep book of 650 listings, a genuine repricing rather than a thin-market wobble. First Partner Illustration Collection (Series 3) slid -33.7% on 1500 listings. Bianca - 2013 (Yugo Sato) fell -31.7% on 8 listings. Zekrom ex - 034/086 (Right Stamp) dropped -27.7% on 63 listings. Silvally GX fell -27.0% on 106 listings. Miraidon - 082 [Staff] slid -26.8% on 20 listings. Unown (Z) dropped -25.6% on 304 listings. Unown (O) fell -25.0% on 324 listings. None of this reads as a trend, just a week where these ten lagged.

1 day spikes

Genesect - BW101 reappears here, +92.3% intraday, same no-depth caveat as above. Steelix - 24/95 (League Promo) jumped +34.4% on 21 listings. Mewtwo EX - 2012 (Zachary Bokhari) rose +22.4%, depth unreported. Pecharunt ex - 039/064 added +18.9% on a healthy 823 listings. Giratina - 4/146 [Platinum] gained +18.8% on 12 listings.

Solo watch: treat with suspicion

Three moves flagged solo-variant. Voltorb (Reverse Holofoil) shows +99.8%, Weedle (Reverse Holofoil) shows +99.6%, and Muk (Team Plasma) (Reverse Holofoil) shows +98.9%. In each case only the flagged printing moved while its siblings sat still, on depths of 5, 9, and 5 listings respectively. Reads more like a single reprice than a market repricing an entire card.

Artist premiums

Hot: Asako Ito at 11.70x across 35 cards, Keiko Fukuyama at 3.34x across 20, Susumu Maeya at 2.62x across 10, Kazuaki Aihara at 2.16x across 12, Yuka Morii at 2.09x across a broad 195 cards.

Cold: "Big Mama" Tagawa at 0.26x across 16 cards, Milky Isobe at 0.27x across 22, Kazuo Yazawa at 0.49x across 9, Takumi Akabane at 0.52x across 50, Shin-ichi Yoshikawa at 0.54x across 51.

Track record

Monthly mint alerts hit 21% at 7 days (20 of 95) for an average return of +2.2%. The 7 day gainer signal hits 22% at 7 days (20 of 89, +0.6%) but improves to 45% at 30 days (13 of 29, +4.2%). The 7 day loser signal hits 50% at 7 days (54 of 108, -8.4%) but drops to 42% at 30 days (13 of 31, +2.6%), meaning the losers that keep losing tend to stop losing within the month.

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Numbers from the TickerMint pipeline. Every call is scored publicly on the scoreboard.