Sealed Cases Print Fresh Highs, Promo Rack Goes Vertical

New all-time highs

Eight products closed at fresh highs. Sealed product leads the board: 30th Celebration Booster Bundle Case hit $2399.97, Prismatic Evolutions Booster Bundle Case hit $2340.95, 30th Celebration Mini Tin Display Case hit $1999.99, Team Up Booster Pack Art Bundle Set of 4 hit $1000.00, and 30th Celebration Knock Out Collection Case hit $989.99. On the singles side, Charizard Base Set Holofoil touched $825.38, Team Rocket Booster Pack 1st Edition hit $701.58, and Mythical Pokemon Collection Box Mew hit $652.77.

Knocking on the door

Five more sit half a percent off their own highs: Unified Minds Single Pack Blister Sudowoodo at $99.49, Sabrina's Gengar 1st Edition Holofoil at $600.87, Rocket's Scyther Unlimited Holofoil at $85.01, Erika's Clefable 1st Edition Holofoil at $81.39, and Furious Fists Booster Box at $4717.50. All four are -0.5% off ath.

Weekly gainers

Axew BW16 ran $33.73 to $68.75, +103.8%, on a book 4 listings deep. Genesect BW101 moved $26.52 to $51.01, +92.3%. Pikachu Base Set climbed $7.68 to $14.09, +83.5%, backed by 3275 listings, about as deep a book as this desk tracks. Giratina LV.X DP38 Holofoil rose $106.71 to $180.90, +69.5%, on 43 listings. Venusaur (Secret Wonders) gained $5.74 to $9.43, +64.3%. Honedge 7/12 McDonald's Promos 2014 Holofoil moved $7.78 to $12.44, +59.9%, 17 deep.

Weekly losers

Kieran 206/167 Holofoil dropped $5.43 to $3.52, -35.2%. Pikachu Star Holofoil fell $3200.00 to $2077.50, -35.1%, on just 5 listings. Slowpoke Reverse Holofoil eased $6.73 to $4.39, -34.8%. Dracozolt V (Full Art) Holofoil slid $5.79 to $3.86, -33.3%. Rayquaza ex (Delta Species) Holofoil gave back $490.00 to $330.00, -32.7% on 12 listings. Ampharos V (Full Art) Holofoil dropped $11.02 to $7.48, -32.1%. Metang 114/162 (Cosmos Holo) fell $6.17 to $4.33, -29.8%. First Partner Illustration Collection (Series 3) dropped $52.60 to $37.19, -29.3%. Snorlax Lv.X Holofoil lost $797.47 to $566.33, -29.0%, on 15 listings. Each of these lagged the market this week. That is the extent of the story.

One-day spikes

Giratina LV.X DP38 jumped $121.13 to $180.90 in a single session, +49.3%. Greninja Detective Pikachu Holofoil rose $9.40 to $13.34, +41.9%. Galar Partners Tin Inteleon V moved $100.00 to $140.00, +40.0%. Delibird Reverse Holofoil climbed $7.00 to $9.34, +33.4%. Kyogre EX Primal Clash Holofoil added $19.17 to $22.90, +19.5%, on 399 listings.

Solo-variant watch

Three moves carry a solo-variant tag, meaning the flagged printing moved while its siblings sat still, the usual signature of a repricing artifact rather than real demand: Voltorb Reverse Holofoil, $25.00 to $49.95 (+99.8%, 6 deep); Staryu 085/113 Reverse Holofoil, $16.22 to $31.50 (+94.2%, 19 deep); Delinquent 98a/122 Holofoil, $15.73 to $29.99 (+90.7%, 39 deep). File these under noise until another printing confirms.

Artist premiums

Hot: Asako Ito commands 11.85x across 35 cards. Keiko Fukuyama 3.30x on 20. Susumu Maeya 2.37x on 10. Yuka Morii 2.19x across a 195-card sample. Kazuaki Aihara 2.08x on 12.

Cold: "Big Mama" Tagawa and Milky Isobe both sit at 0.27x, on 16 and 22 cards respectively. Kazuo Yazawa 0.49x on 9. Takumi Akabane 0.52x on 50. Shin-ichi Yoshikawa 0.55x on 51.

Scoreboard

Mint alert monthly: 21% hit rate at 7 days (22 of 103, avg +2.0%), 35% at 30 days (7 of 20, avg +19.7%). Weekly gainer signal: 23% at 7 days (21 of 92, avg +0.6%), 44% at 30 days (16 of 36, avg +6.9%). Weekly loser signal: 49% at 7 days (57 of 116, avg -8.1%), 54% at 30 days (22 of 41, avg -9.1%). The loser signal has the best track record on the board, for whatever that is worth.

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Numbers from the TickerMint pipeline. Every call is scored publicly on the scoreboard.