TickerMint Daily: Case Prices Punch New Highs, Bulk Singles Take the Hit

New All-Time Highs

Sealed product carried the day. Prismatic Evolutions Booster Bundle Case closed at a new ATH of $2341.91. Surging Sparks Booster Box Case hit $2120.12. Black Bolt Booster Bundle Display printed $1659.23. On the singles side, Rayquaza (Call of Legends, Holofoil) reached $679.27, Destined Rivals Build & Battle Box Display hit $533.21, Blastoise & Piplup GX alternate art touched $469.15, Vaporeon (State Championships Staff) hit $425.00, and Gengar & Mimikyu GX closed at $373.78.

Knocking on the Door

Five cards are sitting within half a percent of their own highs: Unified Minds Single Pack Blister at $99.49 (ATH $99.99), Sabrina's Gengar at $600.87 (ATH $603.90), Judge Full Art at $66.73 (ATH $67.08), Furious Fists Booster Box at $4717.50 (ATH $4742.51), and Giratina EX at $146.81 (ATH $147.60). Each is currently sitting -0.5% below its own all-time high.

Gainers, 7 Day

Hypno (Aquapolis, Holofoil) ran from $111.39 to $229.99, +106.5%, on 16 listings of depth. Morpeko ex climbed $5.30 to $9.46, +78.5%, backed by 597 listings, the deepest book on the gainers sheet. Seviper (Prerelease Staff) went $19.46 to $33.67, +73.0%, but only 5 listings support that print. Move accordingly.

Losers, 7 Day

Ten names took the week's damage, mostly low-dollar bulk. Zeraora VMAX fell $7.57 to $3.20 (-57.7%, depth 469). High Pressure System dropped $9.77 to $4.98 (-49.0%, depth 7). Rayquaza ex Delta Species went $490.00 to $273.00 (-44.3%, depth 19). Charmander Base Set slid $5.06 to $2.95 (-41.7%, no depth reading available). Cinderace VMAX fell $5.76 to $3.49 (-39.4%, depth 279). Espathra dropped $7.33 to $4.57 (-37.7%, depth 6). Treecko fell $17.95 to $11.66 (-35.0%, depth 88). Totodile McDonald's promo went $5.40 to $3.56 (-34.1%, depth 367). Shaymin EX World Championship deck slid $7.57 to $5.00 (-33.9%, depth 127). Torchic rounded out the list, $19.89 to $13.35 (-32.9%, depth 92). None of this reads as anything beyond lagging the tape this week.

Spikes, 1 Day

Crobat (Team Plasma Prerelease Staff) jumped $99.99 to $159.99 in a session, +60.0%, no depth figure attached. Morpeko ex also shows up here, $6.19 to $9.46, +52.8%, on the same 597-listing book as the weekly gainer entry. Venusaur (Regional Championships) went $80.08 to $107.86, +34.7%, depth unreported. Crown Zenith Mini Tin Bede & Hatenna rose $38.99 to $49.32, +26.5%. Fall 2020 Collector's Chest Tin bundle added $95.00 to $117.50, +23.7%. All four with no depth reading should be read with a raised eyebrow.

Solo Variant Watch

Three reverse holo prints moved hard while their base-print siblings sat flat, the standard sign of a single listing repricing rather than real demand: Bellsprout (EX FireRed & LeafGreen, Reverse Holofoil) $11.83 to $25.04 (+111.7%, depth 7), Wailmer (Triumphant, Reverse Holofoil) $5.74 to $11.41 (+98.8%, depth 9), and Poliwag (EX FireRed & LeafGreen, Reverse Holofoil) $12.00 to $23.70 (+97.5%, depth 12). Treat these as pricing noise until more listings confirm.

Artist Premiums

Hot: Asako Ito trades at a 12.06x premium across 35 cards, Keiko Fukuyama at 3.25x across 20, Susumu Maeya at 2.60x across 10, Yuka Morii at 2.16x across 196 cards (the widest sample on the board), Kazuaki Aihara at 2.12x across 12.

Cold: Milky Isobe sits at 0.25x across 22 cards, "Big Mama" Tagawa at 0.26x across 16, Kazuo Yazawa at 0.49x across 9, Takumi Akabane at 0.49x across 50, Shin-ichi Yoshikawa at 0.54x across 51.

Track Record

Monthly mint alerts hit 25% at the 7 day mark (31 of 123, avg return +2.1%) and 42% at 30 days (13 of 31, avg return +10.5%). Weekly gainer signals hit 22% at 7 days (23 of 103, avg return +0.9%) and 46% at 30 days (22 of 48, avg return +5.4%). Weekly loser signals hit 48% at 7 days (61 of 127, avg return -7.4%) and 58% at 30 days (32 of 55, avg return -16.6%). The loser signal keeps outperforming the gainer signal on hit rate. Make of that what you will.

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Numbers from the TickerMint pipeline. Every call is scored publicly on the scoreboard.