Sealed Product Prints Fresh Records While Singles Get Choppy

New All-Time Highs

Sealed product carried the tape this week. Team Up Booster Box printed a fresh ATH at $11481.67. Case-level products followed: 151 Pokemon Center Elite Trainer Box (Exclusive) Case at $5427.50, Fusion Strike Pokemon Center Elite Trainer Box Case (Exclusive) at $2475.72, Sword & Shield Ultra-Premium Collection: Charizard Case at $2396.08, Obsidian Flames Booster Box Case at $2395.20, Journey Together Enhanced Booster Box Case at $1583.79, Scarlet & Violet Elite Trainer Box Case at $1305.00, and Team Up Sleeved Booster Pack Art Bundle [Set of 4] at $1204.50.

Knocking on the Door

Five names sit just under their own records: Unified Minds Single Pack Blister [Sudowoodo] at $99.49 against an ATH of $99.99. Sabrina's Gengar at $600.87 against an ATH of $603.90. Judge (Full Art) at $66.73 against an ATH of $67.08. Furious Fists Booster Box at $4717.50 against an ATH of $4742.51. Giratina EX (93 Full Art) at $146.81 against an ATH of $147.60.

7-Day Gainers

Hypno (H12) ran from $116.76 to $229.99 (+97.0%) on 24 listings of depth, real enough book to take seriously. Gyarados - 32/97 (Prerelease) jumped $150.00 to $262.50 (+75.0%) with no depth figure reported. Seviper - SM46 (Prerelease) [Staff] moved $20.19 to $33.67 (+66.8%) on just 5 listings. Zebstrika - 82/214 (League Challenge) [2nd Place] rose $6.62 to $10.92 (+65.0%) on 7 listings. Small books, big percentages: read accordingly.

7-Day Losers

Zeraora VMAX gave back $7.59 to $3.09 (-59.3%) on a deep 469-listing book, so this one lagged the market on real volume, not a fluke print. High Pressure System fell $9.77 to $4.98 (-49.0%) on 7 listings. Espathra - 081/182 (Cosmo Holo) dropped $7.33 to $4.57 (-37.7%) on 6 listings. Cinderace VMAX slid $5.68 to $3.60 (-36.6%) on 279 listings. Shaymin EX - 2015 (Rowan Stavenow) went $7.57 to $5.00 (-33.9%) on 127 listings. Rounding out the list: Chikorita - 046 -31.6% on 615 listings, Toucannon - 094/084 -31.5% on 1358 listings, Chespin - 058 -30.4% on 126 listings, Krookodile - 66/108 (Cosmos Holo) -29.1% with no depth reported, and Super Energy Removal -28.9% on 1120 listings. None of this is a forecast, just last week's scoreboard.

1-Day Spikes

Gyarados - 32/97 (Prerelease) also shows up here, up $150.00 to $262.50 (+75.0%) same day, no depth on file. Manectric - 38/107 (Prerelease) jumped $74.99 to $99.99 (+33.3%) on 5 listings. Fire Energy (Prize Pack Series 3) (Cosmos Holo) moved $5.54 to $7.26 (+31.0%), depth unreported. Thwackey - 115 rose $10.41 to $13.55 (+30.2%) on 16 listings. Pichu - 28/123 (Prerelease) climbed $73.85 to $93.40 (+26.5%), depth unreported. Several of these are riding books thin enough that one buyer moved the tape.

Solo Watch

Three moves flagged as solo-variant repricing, meaning only the listed printing moved while its siblings held still, a pattern more consistent with a repricing artifact than genuine demand. Wailmer (Reverse Holofoil) went $5.74 to $11.41 (+98.8%) on 9 listings. Poliwag (Reverse Holofoil) went $12.00 to $23.70 (+97.5%) on 12 listings. Pikachu (Reverse Holofoil, Legendary Collection) went $799.99 to $1574.99 (+96.9%) on 27 listings. Treat all three as noise until the base variant confirms.

Artist Premiums

Hot: Asako Ito trades at a 12.39x premium across 35 cards, Keiko Fukuyama at 3.21x across 20, Susumu Maeya at 2.66x across 10, Yuka Morii at 2.19x across a wide 196-card sample, Kazuaki Aihara at 2.14x across 12.

Cold: Milky Isobe sits at 0.24x across 22 cards, "Big Mama" Tagawa at 0.25x across 16, Kazuo Yazawa at 0.48x across 9, Takumi Akabane at 0.50x across 50, Shin-ichi Yoshikawa at 0.54x across 51.

Signal Track Record

Monthly mint alerts hit 26% at 7 days (34/133, avg return +3.1%) and 35% at 30 days (16/46, avg return +13.3%). Weekly gainer signals hit 21% at 7 days (23/108, avg return +0.9%) but 47% at 30 days (26/55, avg return +5.3%). Weekly loser signals hit 48% at 7 days (64/133, avg return -6.8%) and 64% at 30 days (43/67, avg return -21.7%). The loser signal keeps outperforming the gainer signal on hit rate. Draw your own conclusions.

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Numbers from the TickerMint pipeline. Every call is scored publicly on the scoreboard.